Dr. Felix Pretis

Dr. Felix Pretis
Assistant Professor

DPhil/PhD (Oxford)

Office: BEC 388

Felix Pretis obtained his DPhil (PhD) in economics from the University of Oxford (Nuffield College). His research concentrates on time series, panel, and spatial econometric methods with applications to climate change, environmental economics and natural resources. He co-directs the Climate Econometrics project and research network (www.climateeconometrics.org). Prior to joining UVic he was a British Academy Postdoctoral Research Fellow at Nuffield College at the University of Oxford, as well as a visiting researcher at UC Berkeley.


  • Econometrics
  • Climate Change
  • Environmental Economics



Journal Publications:
  1. “Uncertain Impacts on Economic Growth When Stabilizing Global Temperatures at 1.5°C or 2°C” with M. Schwarz, K. Tang, K. Haustein, & M. R. Allen (2018) Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, vol. 376 (2119). [link]
  2. “Automated General-to-Specific (GETS) Regression Modelling and Indicator Saturation for Outliers and Structural Breaks”, with G. Sucarrat & J. Reade (2018) Journal of Statistical Software. Accepted, in press. [link to earlier version]
  3. “The Spatial Heterogeneity of Climate Change as an Experiential Basis for Skepticism” with R. K. Kaufmann, M. L Mann, S. Gopal, J. A. Liederman, P.D. Howe, X. Tang, & M. Gillmore (2017)  Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), vol.114(1). [link]
  4. “CO2 Emission-Intensity in Climate Projections: Comparing the Observational Record to Socio-Economic Scenarios”, with M. Roser. (2017) Energy, vol.135. [link]
  5. “A new archive of large volcanic events over the past millennium from reconstructed summer temperatures”, with L. Schneider, J. Smerdon, C. Hartl-Meier, and J. Esper (2017) Environmental Research Letters, vol. 12. [link]
  6.  “Detecting Volcanic Eruptions in Temperature Reconstructions by Designed Break-Indicator Saturation”, with L. Schneider, J. Smerdon, & D.F. Hendry (2016) Journal of Econ. Surveys, vol.30(3). [link]
  7. “Detecting Location Shifts during Model Selection by Step-Indicator Saturation”, with D.F. Hendry, J.A. Doornik, & J.L. Castle, (2015) Econometrics, vol.3(2). [link]
  8. “Testing Competing Models of the Temperature Hiatus: Assessing the effects of conditioning variables and temporal uncertainties through sample-wide break detection”, with R. K. Kaufmann, & M. L. Mann (2015) Climatic Change, vol.131(4). [link]
  9. “Climate Science: Breaks in Trends”, with M.R. Allen (2013) Nature Geoscience, vol.6. [link]
  10. 10. “Some Hazards in Econometric Modelling of Climate Change”, with D. F. Hendry. (2013) Earth System Dynamics, vol.4. [link]
Policy Papers
  1. “All Change: The Implications of Non-stationarity for Empirical Modelling, Forecasting and Policy”, with David F. Hendry, (2016) Oxford Martin School Policy Paper (peer-reviewed). [link]
Publications in Edited Volumes
  1. “Anthropogenic Influences on Atmospheric CO2” with D. F. Hendry, (2013) in Handbook on Energy and Climate Change, R. Fouquet ed. Cheltenham: Edward Elgar. [link]