Peter Dobias

Peter Dobias is a senior defence scientist with the Defence Research and Development Canada (DRDC)  Centre for Operational Research and Analysis (CORA), with the research interest in complex adaptive system, in particular in the context of fat-tail risk assessment, critical (phase transition) phenomena, and adaptive response to future strategic environments.

He has worked in a variety of military environments, including leading land forces operational research wargaming team supporting Army’s director of land requirements, supporting Canadian Expeditionary Forces Command’s mission assessment for Afghanistan, in 2009 he deployed to Afghanistan with the Task Force Kandahar where he was involved with mission planning and assessment.

Between 2010 and 2013 he was embedded with the US Central Command’s Afghanistan-Pakistan Centre where he led quantitative assessment team supporting key strategic decisions. Since 2013 he led the Maritime Forces Pacific Operational Research team, working on risk assessment, planning, and evaluation of the maritime surveillance, operational wargaming and force structure planning for the Royal Canadian Navy.

DOBIAS, P., J. Wanliss, "Empirical Mode Decomposition in Defence Data Analysis", published in A.J. Morales, C. Gershenson, D. Braha, A.A. Minai, Y. Bar-Yam (Editors), Unifying Themes in Complex Systems IX, Proceedings of the Ninth International Conference on Complex Systems, Springer, 22-28. 2018

DOBIAS, P., C. Eisler, "Scenario Set As a representative of possible futures", published in A.J. Morales, C. Gershenson, D. Braha, A.A. Minai, Y. Bar-Yam (Editors), Unifying Themes in Complex Systems IX, Proceedings of the Ninth International Conference on Complex Systems, Springer, 22-28 July 2018.

EISLER, C., M.J. Liu, P. Dobias, "Forecasting Courses with Uncertain Student Demand", Operational Research and Management Science Letters, Vol 1, No 1, 1-7. 2018

EISLER, C., P. Dobias, K. Macneil, "A Surveillance Application of Space-Based AIS Performance: Utilizing a Parametric Model for Probability of Detection", In proceedings from ICORES 2017, Portugal, Feb 2017

DOBIAS, P., C. Eisler, "Modeling a naval force protection scenario in MANA, Operational Research and Management Science Letters", Vol 1, No 1, 1-7, 2017.

NELSON, J., P. Young, P. Dobias, A. Roland-Price, M. Hubbard, P. Paulissen, "How to Include Non-Lethal Capabilities into NATO and National Concepts" (U), STO-SR-SAS094 Final Report, Dec 2016.

DOBIAS, P., C. Eisler, "NATO Non-Lethal Technology Exercise (NNTEX) 16-Land, NATO-STO-SR-SAS094-NNTEX-16L-Working Group Report", Dec 2016.

HORN, S., C. Eisler, P. Dobias, J. Collins, "Data Requirements for Anomaly Detection, in European Commission's Joint Research Centre (JRC) Proceedings from Maritime Knowledge Discovery and Anomaly Detection", pp. 52-56, Workshop, Ispra (Varese), Italy, Edited by Michele Vespe and Fabio Mazzarella, 5-6 July 2016.

Liu, M.J., DOBIAS, P., Eisler, C., "Fractal patterns in coastal detections on approaches to Canada", J. of Applied Operational Research,  Vol. 7, No. 2, 80–95, 2015

DOBIAS, P., Appleget, J., Cameron, F., Tahir, A., Sen, F., Unlu, S., Gencay, M., Employment of Non-Lethal Capabilities for Visit, Board, Search, and Seizure Operations: Naval Postgraduate School Wargame, NATO STO-TM-SAS-094, March 2015

EISLER, C., Lu, O., Dobias, P., Course loading optimization, Proceedings from 32 International Symposium on Military Operational Research, University of London, UK, 21-24 Jul 2015

DOBIAS, P., Horn, S., Liu, M.J., Eisler, C., Sprague, K., Use of fractal-based approaches in the assessment of the Canadian recognized maritime picture, Proceedings from 32 International Symposium on Military Operational Research, University of London, UK, 21-24 Jul 2015

DOBIAS, P., J. Nelson, P. Paulissen, SAS 094 CDAG Land, NATO STO-TR-SAS-094, March 2015

YOUNG, P., J. Nelson, P. Dobias, SAS 094 NLW Analysis Group, NATO Non-Lethal Weapons Case Study Synthesis, NATO STO-TR-SAS-094, Dec 2014

DOBIAS, P., J.A. Wanliss, Interdisciplinary Applications of Statistical Physics to Modeling Decisions in Combat Situations, in proceedings from Conference of the International Journal of Arts & Sciences, Rome, Italy, October 2014, CD-ROM.ISN:1943-614:7(1):271284(2014)

DOBIAS, P., J.A. Wanliss, "Empirical Mode Decomposition Applied to Afghanistan Violence Data: Comparison with Multiplicative Seasonal Decomposition", accepted, Journal of Battlefield Technology, Vol. 17, No. 2  (17-2-3), pgs 17-22, Jul. 2014

WANLISS, J., P. Dobias, "Dealing with non-stationarities in violence data using empirical mode decomposition", Journal of Battlefield Technology, Vol. 16, No. 2  (16-2-2), Jul. 2013

DOBIAS, P., J.A. Wanliss, "Fractal Properties of Conflict in Afghanistan Revisited", Journal of Battlefield Technology, Vol. 15, No. 3, November 2012 (pg 31-36), P2012-180

• 2017 NATO Scientific Achievement Award
• 2015 DRDC CORA Leadership Award
• 2013 MGen Ralph H. Van Deman Award
• 2009 DRDC Support to Operations Certificate of Appreciation,
• 2008 DRDC CORA Team Achievement Award
• 2014 STK Basic Project Management Professional
• 2017 Project Management Professional