Publications library

Li, Y., T. Wang, J. Yan and X. Zhang, 2025: Improved Optimal Fingerprinting Based on Estimating Equations Reaffirms Anthropogenic Effect on Global Warming. The Journal of Climate, 38, 8, 1779-1790, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0193.1.

Sobie, S.R., C.L. Curry and M.A. Ben Alaya, 2025: Evaluation of a Multivariate Statistical Downscaling Method over Canada's Largest Pacific Basin. Atmosphere-Ocean, 63:1, 1-20, doi:10.1080/07055900.2025.2478829.

Alam, M.S., Barbour, S.L., Huang, M., Li, Y. (2020). Using Statistical and Dynamical Downscaling to Assess Climate Change Impacts on Mine Reclamation Cover Water Balances. Mine Water Environ., 39, 699-715. doi:10.1007/s10230-020-00695-6.

Meshesha, T.W., J. Wang and N. Demelash Melaku. (2020). A modified hydrological model for assessing effect of pH on fate and transport of Escherichia coli in the Athabasca River basin. Journal of Hydrology, 582, 124513, doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.124513.

Brubacher, J., D.M. Allen, S.J. Dery, M.W. Parkes, B. Chhetri, S. Mak, S. Sobie and T.K. Takaro. (2020). Associations of five food- and water-borne diseases with ecological zone, land use and aquifer type in a hanging climate. Science of The Total Environment, 728, 138808, doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138808.

Sobie, S. (2020). Future changes in precipitation-caused landslide frequency in British Columbia. Climatic Change, 162, 465-484, doi:10.1007/s10584-020-02788-1.

Melaku, N.D., J. Wang and T.W. Meshesha. (2020). Improving hydrologic model to predict the effect of snowpack and soil temperature on carbon dioxide emission in the cold region peatlands. Journal of Hydrology, 587, 124939, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.124939.

Meshesha, T.W., J. Wang and N.D. Melaku. (2020). Modelling spatiotemporal patterns of water quality and its impacts on aquatic ecosystem in the cold climate region of Alberta, Canada. Journal of Hydrology, 587, 124952, doi:10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.124952.

Florko, K. R. N., T.C. Tai, W.W.L. Cheung, S.H. Ferguson, U.R. Sumaila, D.J. Yurkowski and M. Auger-Methe. (2021). Predicting how climate change threatens the prey base of Arctic marine predators. Ecology Letters, 24, 12, 2563-2575, doi:10.1111/ele.13866.

Mahmoudi, M.H., M.R. Najafi, H. Singh and M. Schnorbus. (2021). Spatial and temporal changes in climate extremes over northwestern North America: the influence of internal climate variability and external forcing. Climatic Change, 165, 14, doi: 10.1007/s10584-021-03037-9.

Tsuruta, K. and M.A. Schnorbus. (2021). Exploring the operational impacts of climate change and glacier loss in the upper Columbia River Basin, Canada. Hydrological Processes, 35, 7, e14253, doi:10.1002/hyp.14253.

Tan, Y., S. Yang, F.W. Zwiers, Z. Wang and Q. Sun. (2022). Moisture budget analysis of extreme precipitation associated with different types of atmospheric rivers over western North America. Climate Dynamics, 58, 793-809, doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05933-3.

Souaissi, Z, T.B. Ouarda, A. St-Hilaire and D. Ouali. (2023). Regional frequency analysis of stream temperature at ungauged sites using non-linear canonical correlation analysis and generalized additive models. Environmental Modelling & Software, 163, 105682, doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2023.105682.

Khorsandi, M., A. St-Hilaire, R. Arsenault, J.-L. Martel, S. Larabi, M. Schnorbus, F.W. Zwiers. (2023). Future flow and water temperature scenarios in an impounded drainage basin: Implications for summer flow and temperature management downstream of the dam. Climatic Change, 176, 164, doi:10.1007/s10584-023-03634-w.

Farajzadeh, M., R. Oji, A.J. Cannon, Y. Ghavidel, and A.R. Massah. (2015). An evaluation of single-site statistical downscaling techniques in terms of indices of climate extremes for the Midwest of Iran. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 120, 1, 377-390, doi: 10.1007/s00704-014-1157-4.

A.J. Cannon. (2015). An intercomparison of regional and at-site rainfall extreme value analyses in southern British Columbia, Canada. Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering, 42, 2, 107-119, doi: 10.1139/cjce-2014-0361.

Mohammad Reza Najafi, Francis Zwiers, Nathan Gillett. (2015). Attribution of Arctic temperature change to greenhouse-gas and aerosol influences. Nature Climate Change, 5, 246-249, doi:10.1038/NCLIMATE2524.

Kim, Y.H., S.K. Min , X. Zhang, F. Zwiers, L.V. Alexander, M.G. Donat and Y.S. Tung. (2015). Attribution of extreme temperature changes during 1951-2010. Climate Dynamics, 46, 1769-1782, doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2674-2.

Najafi M.R. and H. Moradkhani. (2015). Ensemble Combination of Seasonal Streamflow Forecasts. Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 21, 1, doi: 10.1061/(ASCE)HE.1943-5584.0001250

Seiler, C. and F.W. Zwiers. (2015). How well do CMIP5 climate models reproduce explosive cyclones in the extratropics of the Northern Hemisphere? Climate Dynamics, 46, 1241–1256, doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2642-x.

Seiler, C. and,  F.W. Zwiers. (2015). How will climate change affect explosive cyclones in the extratropics of the Northern Hemisphere? Climate Dynamics, 46, 3633-3644, doi:10.1007/s00382-015-2791-y.

Neilsen, D., S. Smith, T. Van Der Gulik, B. Taylor and A.J. Cannon. (2015). Modeling regional water demand for current and future climate in the Okanagan basin, British Columbia, Canada. Acta Horticulturae (ISHS), 1068, 211-218, doi: 10.17660/ActaHortic.2015.1068.26

Najafi M.R. and H. Moradkhani. (2015). Multi-model ensemble analysis of runoff extremes for climate change impact assessments. Journal of Hydrology, 525, 352-361, doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.03.045.

Clarke, G.K.C., A.H. Jarosch, F.S. Anslow, V. Radic and B. Menounos. (2015). Projected deglaciation of western Canada in the twenty-first century. Nature Geoscience, 8, 372-377, doi:10.1038/ngeo2407.

Alex Cannon. (2015). Revisiting the nonlinear relationship between ENSO and winter extreme station precipitation in North America. International Journal of Climatology, 35, 13, 4001-4014, doi:10.1002/joc.4263

Salimun, E., F. Tangang, L. Juneng, F.W. Zwiers and W..J. Merryfield. (2015). Skill evaluation of the CanCM4 and its MOS for seasonal rainfall forecast in Malaysia during the early and late winter monsoon periods. International Journal of Climatology, doi: 0.1002/joc.4361.

Ullman, D.J., A.E. Carlson, A.N. LeGrande, A.K. Moore, F.S. Anslow, M. Caffee, K.M. Syverson, and J.M. Licciardi. (2015). Southern Laurentide ice-sheet retreat synchronous with rising boreal summer insolation. Geology, 43, 23-26, doi:10.1130/G36179.1.

Sun, Y., X, Zhang, G. Ren, F.W. Zwiers and T. Hu. (2016). Contribution of urbanization to warming in China. Nature Climate Change, 6, 706-709, doi:10.1038/NCLIMATE2956.

Curry, C.L., B. Tencer, K. Whan, A. J. Weaver, M. Giguere and E. Wiebe. (2016). Searching for added value in simulating climate extremes with a high-resolution regional climate model over western Canada. Atmosphere Ocean, 54, 4, doi: 10.1080/07055900.2016.1158146.

Zhang, X., F.W. Zwiers, G.L. Hui Wan and A.J. Cannon. (2017). Complexity in estimating past and future extreme short-duration rainfall. Nature Geoscience, 10, 255-259, doi:10.1038/ngeo2911.

Shrestha, R., A.J. Cannon, M.A. Schnorbus and F.W. Zwiers. (2017). Projecting future nonstationary extreme streamflow for the Fraser River, Canada. Climatic Change, 145, 289-303, doi:10.1007/s10584-017-2098-6.

Tsuruta, K., M.A. Hassan, S.D. Donner and Y. Alila. (2018). Development and application of a large-scale, physically-based, distributed suspended sediment transport model on the Fraser River Basin, British Columbia, Canada. Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, 123, 10, 2481-2508, doi: 10.1029/2017JF004578.

Pingree-Shippee, K., F.W. Zwiers and D. Atkinson. (2018). Representation of Canadian Coastal Storm Activity by Six Global Reanalyses. International Journal of Climatology, 38, 2, 1041-1059, doi:10.1002/joc.5235.

Sgubin, G., D. Swingedouw, G. Dayon, I.G. de Cortazar-Atauri, N. Ollat, C. Page and , C. van Leeuwen. (2018). The risk of tardive frost damage in French vineyards in a changing climate. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 250-251, 226-242 doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2017.12.253.

Tsuruta, K., M.A. Hassan, S.D. Donner and Y. Alila. (2019). Modelling the effects of climatic and hydrological regime changes on the sediment dynamics of the Fraser River Basin, British Columbia, Canada. Hydrological Processes, 33, 2, 244-260, doi: 10.1002/hyp.13321.

Ben Alaya, M.A., F.W. Zwiers and X. Zhang. (2019). Probable maximum precipitation in a warming climate over North America in CanRCM4 and CRCM5. Climatic Change, 158, 611-629, doi:10.1007/s10584-019-02591-7.

Xuebin Zhang, Lisa Alexander, Gabriele C. Hegerl, Phillip Jones, Albert Klein Tank, Thomas C. Peterson, Blair Trewin, Francis W. Zwiers (PCIC). (2011). Indices for Monitoring Changes in Extremes Based on Daily Temperature and Precipitation Data. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, doi: 10.1002/wcc.147.

Schnorbus, M. (PCIC), Werner, A. (PCIC) and Bennett, K. (2012). Impacts of climate change in three hydrologic regimes in British Columbia, Canada. Hydrological Processes, 28, 3, 1170-1189, doi: 10.1002/hyp.9661.

Rajesh R. Shrestha (PCIC),  Markus A. Schnorbus (PCIC),  Arelia T. Werner (PCIC),  and Anne J. Berland (PCIC). (2012). Modelling spatial and temporal variability of hydrologic impacts of climate change in the Fraser River basin. Hydrological Processes Journal, 26, 12, 1840-1860, doi:10.1002/hyp.9283.

Ian M. Picketts (UNBC), Arelia T. Werner (PCIC), Trevor Q. Murdock (PCIC), John Curry (UNBC), Stephen J. Dery (UNBC), David Dyer (City of Prince George). (2012). Planning for climate change adaptation: lessons learned from a community-based workshop. Environmental Science & Policy, 17, 11, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2011.12.011

Kharin, V.V., Zwiers,  F.W. (PCIC), Zhang, X., Wehner, M. (2013). Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in the CMIP5 ensemble. Climatic Change, 119, 345-357, doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0705-8.

Sillmann, J., V.V. Kharin, F.W. Zwiers,X. Zhang, D. Bronaugh and M.G. Donat. (2013). Evaluating model-simulated variability in temperature extremes using modified percentile indices. International Journal of Climatology, 34, 11, 3304-3311, doi: 10.1002/joc.3899.

Trevor Q. Murdock (PCIC), Stephen W. Taylor, Aquila Flower (PCIC), Alan Mehlenbacher (PCIC), Alvaro Montenegro (PCIC), Francis W. Zwiers (PCIC), Rene Alfaro and David L. Spittlehouse. (2013). Pest outbreak distribution and forest management impacts in a changing climate in British Columbia. Environmental Science and Policy, 26, 75-89, doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2012.07.026.

Aquila Flower, Trevor Q. Murdock (PCIC), Stephen W. Taylor and Francis W. Zwiers (PCIC). (2013). Using an ensemble of downscaled climate model projections to assess impacts of climate change on the potential distribution of spruce and Douglas-fir forests in British Columbia. Environmental Science and Policy, 26, 63-74, doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2012.07.024.

Najafi M.R. and H. Moradkhani. (2014). A Hierarchical Bayesian Approach for the Analysis of Climate Change Impact on Runoff Extremes. Hydrological Processes, 28, 26, 6292-6308 doi: 10.1002/hyp.10113.

Gaitan, C.F., W.W. Hsieh, and A.J. Cannon. (2014). Comparison of statistically downscaled precipitation in terms of future climate indices and daily variability for southern Ontario and Quebec, Canada. Climate Dynamics, 43, 12, 3201-3217, doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2098-4.

Kumar, S., P. Dirmeyer, D. Lawrence, T. DelSole, E. L. Altshuler, B. A. Cash, M. J. Fennessy, Z. Guo, J. L. Kinter III and D. M. Strauts. (2014). Effects of Realistic Land Surface Initializations on Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Soil Moisture and Temperature predictability in North America and in Changing Climate simulated by CCSM4. Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres, 119, 23, 13,250-13,270, doi:10.1002/2014JD022110.

Christidis, N., P.A. Stott and F.W. Zwiers. (2014). Fast-track attribution assessments based on pre-computed estimates of changes in the odds of warm extremes. Climate Dynamics, 45, 5, 1547-1564. doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2408-x.

Whan, K., B. Timbal and J. Lindesay. (2014). Linear and nonlinear statistical analysis of the impact of sub-tropical ridge intensity and position on south-east Australian rainfall. International Journal of Climatology, 34, 2, 326-342, doi:10.1002/joc.3689.

Sun, Y., X. Zhang, F.W. Zwiers, L. Song, H. Wan, t. Hu, H. Yin and G. Ren. (2014). Rapid increase in the risk of extreme summer heat in Eastern China. Nature Climate Change, 4, 1082-1085, doi:10.1038/nclimate2410.